Næstved II vs Aarup: result 1-2 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 8, 2012 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tved Stadion, Næstved
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What was the result of Næstved II vs Aarup?
Aarup won 1-2 on September 8, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Næstved II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aarup have 3, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2012 | Slagelse B&I(away) | 3-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Ringsted(home) | 3-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Greve(away) | 0-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Hedensted(home) | 1-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Middelfart(away) | 4-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2012 | Nakskov(home) | 4-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Frem Sakskøbing(away) | 2-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 18, 2012 | OKS(home) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2012 | Tved(away) | 5-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 11, 2012 | GVI(away) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Næstved II score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Aarup score 2.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Næstved II | 2.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Aarup | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy