Naestved vs Brabrand: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)MTM Service Park, Næstved
The Footlab model makes Naestved the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Brabrand. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naestved vs Brabrand?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Naestved (1,723) and Brabrand (1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naestved have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Brabrand have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nykobing FC(away) | 1-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Brabrand(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | HIK(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hvidovre(home) | 1-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FA 2000(away) | 4-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Naestved(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 0-4 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aarhus Black Vipers(away) | 3-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skive(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Naestved win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Brabrand win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Brabrand 0-1 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Naestved 0-0 Brabrand | 2. Division |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Brabrand 0-3 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Naestved 1-0 Brabrand | 2. Division |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Brabrand 0-1 Naestved | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Naestved score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Brabrand score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naestved | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Brabrand | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naestved sit 8th in 2. Division (5 points from 4 matches) and Brabrand sit 11th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Naestved | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 11 | Brabrand | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naestved vs Brabrand?
- The Footlab model makes Naestved the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Brabrand.
- Where and when is Naestved vs Brabrand played?
- Naestved vs Brabrand is played on March 14, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at MTM Service Park, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.