Middelfart vs HIK: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Middelfart Stadion, Middelfart
The Footlab model makes Middelfart the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for HIK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Middelfart vs HIK?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Middelfart (1,678) and HIK (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middelfart have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; HIK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nykobing FC(home) | 2-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roskilde(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Brabrand(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bredballe(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | B 93(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Naestved(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rudersdal(away) | 5-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Middelfart win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 HIK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Middelfart 2-1 HIK | 2. Division |
| Sep 15, 2024 | HIK 1-1 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Middelfart 4-0 HIK | 2. Division |
| Oct 14, 2023 | HIK 1-2 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Middelfart 1-2 HIK | 2. Division |
| Oct 2, 2021 | HIK 2-0 Middelfart | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Middelfart score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; HIK score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middelfart | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| HIK | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middelfart sit 3rd in 2. Division (7 points from 4 matches) and HIK sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middelfart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | HIK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Middelfart vs HIK?
- The Footlab model makes Middelfart the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for HIK.
- Where and when is Middelfart vs HIK played?
- Middelfart vs HIK is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Middelfart Stadion, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.