Naestved vs HB Koge: result 1-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2016 at 05:00 PM (UTC)MTM Service Park, Næstved
Full time
What was the result of Naestved vs HB Koge?
Naestved and HB Koge drew 1-1 on October 10, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 42′L. Rochester SørensenHB Koge
- 48′J. IllumNaestved
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naestved have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; HB Koge have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2016 | FC Fredericia(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Fremad Amager(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Skive(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2016 | Nykobing FC(away) | 4-4 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2016 | FC Helsingor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Hobro(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2016 | AB Copenhagen(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Vejle(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2016 | DMI(away) | 3-0 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Naestved win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 HB Koge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2016 | HB Koge 2-2 Naestved | 1. Division |
| Mar 28, 2016 | HB Koge 2-0 Naestved | 1. Division |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Naestved 1-0 HB Koge | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2015 | HB Koge 2-0 Naestved | 1. Division |
| Aug 27, 2014 | Naestved 1-2 HB Koge | DBU Pokalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Naestved score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; HB Koge score 1.4 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naestved | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| HB Koge | 1.4 | 0.4 | 11 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | HB Koge | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy