Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Naft Gachsaran Stadium, Gachsaran
The Footlab AI model makes Mes Kerman the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Naft Gachsaran. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mes Kerman wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,586 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Naft Gachsaran (1,489) and Mes Kerman (1,542).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naft Gachsaran
Not enough data to predict the Naft Gachsaran lineup.
Mes Kerman
Not enough data to predict the Mes Kerman lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 02:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft Gachsaran have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Mes Kerman have 1, 9 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Fard Alborz(home) | 4-2 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Pars Jonoubi JAM(away) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Novin Ahvaz(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Naft Bandar Abbas(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Shahin Bandar Ameri(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm(away) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Mes Rafsanjan(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Niroye Zamini(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Mes Soongoun(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Naft Gachsaran wins, 3 draws, 1 Mes Kerman win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Mes Kerman 0-0 Naft Gachsaran | Azadegan League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Naft Gachsaran 2-1 Mes Kerman | Azadegan League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Naft Gachsaran 0-0 Mes Kerman | Azadegan League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Mes Kerman 2-1 Naft Gachsaran | Azadegan League |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Naft Gachsaran 0-0 Mes Kerman | Azadegan League |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Mes Kerman 1-2 Naft Gachsaran | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Mes Kerman vs Naft Gachsaran on Jun 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naft Gachsaran score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mes Kerman score 0.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Gachsaran | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Mes Kerman | 0.6 | 0.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft Gachsaran sit 11th in Azadegan League (6 points from 6 matches) and Mes Kerman sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Naft Gachsaran | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Mes Kerman | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
A question about Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mes Kerman the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Naft Gachsaran.
- Where and when is Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman played?
- Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman is played on November 2, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Naft Gachsaran Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.