Match

Naft vs Al-Jolan SC: prediction and stats

Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Madina International Stadium, Baghdad

NaftAl-Jolan SC

The Footlab AI model makes Naft the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Al-Jolan SC. The most likely score is 0-0. If Naft wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Naft vs Al-Jolan SC?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Naft (1,571) and Al-Jolan SC (1,486).

39%33%28%
Naft winDrawAl-Jolan SC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Naft vs Al-Jolan SC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Naft

Not enough data to predict the Naft lineup.

Al-Jolan SC

Not enough data to predict the Al-Jolan SC lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:43 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Al-Jolan SC have 2, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Naft
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Diyala(home)2-0Iraqi League
Sep 18, 2026Mosul(away)1-0Iraqi League
Sep 14, 2026Karbala(home)2-1Iraqi League
Sep 9, 2026Al-Karma(away)0-3Iraqi League
Sep 5, 2026Al Minaa Basra(away)3-0Iraqi League
Al-Jolan SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Gharraf(away)0-0Iraqi League
Sep 18, 2026Al Talaba(away)2-2Iraqi League
Sep 14, 2026Newroz(home)0-2Iraqi League
Sep 9, 2026Zakho(home)1-1Iraqi League
Sep 4, 2026Ghaz Al Shamal(away)1-0Iraqi League

How many goals should we expect?

Naft score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Jolan SC score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Naft1.10.785/155/15
Al-Jolan SC0.91.043/92/9

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Naft sit 5th in Iraqi League (18 points from 9 matches) and Al-Jolan SC sit 10th (11 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Naft953111518
10Al-Jolan SC92528911

A question about Naft vs Al-Jolan SC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Naft vs Al-Jolan SC?
The Footlab AI model makes Naft the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Al-Jolan SC.
Where and when is Naft vs Al-Jolan SC played?
Naft vs Al-Jolan SC is played on February 26, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Madina International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Naft and Al-Jolan SC

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