Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Newroz the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Al Kahrabaa. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa?
Newroz starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,593 vs 1,462).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newroz
Not enough data to predict the Newroz lineup.
Al Kahrabaa
Not enough data to predict the Al Kahrabaa lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newroz have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Al Kahrabaa have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Karbala(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Newroz wins, 1 draw, 0 Al Kahrabaa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2025 | Newroz 1-1 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newroz score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Kahrabaa score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newroz | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Al Kahrabaa | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newroz sit 2nd in Iraqi League (21 points from 10 matches) and Al Kahrabaa sit 16th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newroz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 16 | Al Kahrabaa | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newroz the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Al Kahrabaa.
- Where and when is Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa played?
- Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.