Naft vs Al Minaa Basra: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Madina International Stadium, Baghdad
The Footlab AI model makes Naft the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Al Minaa Basra. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft vs Al Minaa Basra?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Naft (1,571) and Al Minaa Basra (1,478).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naft vs Al Minaa Basra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naft
Not enough data to predict the Naft lineup.
Al Minaa Basra
Not enough data to predict the Al Minaa Basra lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Al Minaa Basra have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Mosul(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Karbala(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Naft wins, 3 draws, 1 Al Minaa Basra win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra 0-3 Naft | Iraqi League |
| May 14, 2026 | Naft 1-1 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra 0-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Al Minaa Basra 2-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Naft 1-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| May 9, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra 0-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Minaa Basra vs Naft on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naft score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Minaa Basra score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Minaa Basra | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft sit 5th in Iraqi League (18 points from 9 matches) and Al Minaa Basra sit 8th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Naft | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 8 | Al Minaa Basra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Naft vs Al Minaa Basra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft vs Al Minaa Basra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naft the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Al Minaa Basra.
- Where and when is Naft vs Al Minaa Basra played?
- Naft vs Al Minaa Basra is played on February 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Madina International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.