Al Zawra'a vs Karbala: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Zawraa Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab AI model makes Al Zawra'a the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Karbala. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,075 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Zawra'a vs Karbala?
Al Zawra'a is a heavy favourite: 1,654 Elo points against 1,332, a 322-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Zawra'a vs Karbala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Zawra'a
Not enough data to predict the Al Zawra'a lineup.
Karbala
Not enough data to predict the Karbala lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 07:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Zawra'a have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Karbala have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Duhok(away) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Duhok(away) | 2-5 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Naft(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Zawra'a wins, 2 draws, 1 Karbala win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karbala 1-1 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Al Zawra'a 1-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Karbala 1-3 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Jun 18, 2024 | Al Zawra'a 5-2 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Karbala 1-0 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| May 24, 2023 | Karbala 1-1 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Karbala vs Al Zawra'a on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Zawra'a score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Karbala score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Zawra'a | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Karbala | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Zawra'a sit 6th in Iraqi League (18 points from 11 matches) and Karbala sit 20th (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Zawra'a | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 18 |
| 20 | Karbala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
A question about Al Zawra'a vs Karbala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Zawra'a vs Karbala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Zawra'a the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Karbala.
- Where and when is Al Zawra'a vs Karbala played?
- Al Zawra'a vs Karbala is played on February 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Zawraa Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.