Naft vs Duhok: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Al-Madina International Stadium, Baghdad
The Footlab model makes Naft the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Duhok. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft vs Duhok?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Naft (1,530) and Duhok (1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Duhok have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Newroz(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 27, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 3-3 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 27, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Naft(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Naft win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Duhok win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Naft 1-1 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Duhok 0-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
| May 6, 2025 | Naft 1-0 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Duhok 1-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Naft 0-0 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Duhok 0-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Naft score 0.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Duhok score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft | 0.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Duhok | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft sit 2nd in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Duhok sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Naft | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Duhok | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft vs Duhok?
- The Footlab model makes Naft the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Duhok.
- Where and when is Naft vs Duhok played?
- Naft vs Duhok is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Al-Madina International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.