Duhok vs Naft Maysan: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Dohuk Stadium, Dohuk
The Footlab model makes Duhok the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Naft Maysan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Duhok vs Naft Maysan?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Duhok (1,523) and Naft Maysan (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Duhok have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Naft Maysan have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 3-3 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 27, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Naft(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Gharraf(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 24, 2026 | Al Najaf(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Duhok win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Naft Maysan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Duhok 2-1 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Naft Maysan 2-2 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2025 | Duhok 0-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Jan 20, 2025 | Naft Maysan 0-2 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Duhok 2-2 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Naft Maysan 0-3 Duhok | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Duhok score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Naft Maysan score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duhok | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Naft Maysan | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Duhok sit 11th in Iraqi League (2 points from 2 matches) and Naft Maysan sit 14th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Duhok | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Naft Maysan | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Duhok vs Naft Maysan?
- The Footlab model makes Duhok the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Naft Maysan.
- Where and when is Duhok vs Naft Maysan played?
- Duhok vs Naft Maysan is played on December 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Dohuk Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.