Naft vs Erbil: result 1-1 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on January 2, 2021 at 11:45 AM (UTC)Al-Madina International Stadium, Baghdad
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What was the result of Naft vs Erbil?
Naft and Erbil drew 1-1 on January 2, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 55′Ahmed SartipNaft
- 86′Nakam HashemErbil
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Erbil have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2020 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 23, 2020 | Naft Maysan(home) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 18, 2020 | Al Najaf(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Al Simawa(home) | 3-1 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 7, 2020 | Naft Al-Wasat(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2020 | Al Shorta(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 23, 2020 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 17, 2020 | Al Karkh(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Naft Maysan(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Al Najaf(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Naft score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Erbil score 0.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Erbil | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft sit 2nd in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Erbil sit 1st (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Naft | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy