Naft vs Ghaz Al Shamal: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Madina International Stadium, Baghdad
The Footlab AI model makes Naft the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Ghaz Al Shamal. The most likely score is 0-0. If Naft wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,189 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Naft (1,600) and Ghaz Al Shamal (1,529).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naft vs Ghaz Al Shamal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naft
Not enough data to predict the Naft lineup.
Ghaz Al Shamal
Not enough data to predict the Ghaz Al Shamal lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 07:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Ghaz Al Shamal have 3, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Gharraf(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Mosul(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Naft score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ghaz Al Shamal score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft | 1.2 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Ghaz Al Shamal | 0.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 5/13 | 1/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft sit 3rd in Iraqi League (25 points from 13 matches) and Ghaz Al Shamal sit 10th (16 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Naft | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 10 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
A question about Naft vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naft the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Ghaz Al Shamal.
- Where and when is Naft vs Ghaz Al Shamal played?
- Naft vs Ghaz Al Shamal is played on May 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Madina International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.