Newroz vs Al Shorta: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Shorta the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Newroz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Shorta wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newroz vs Al Shorta?
Al Shorta starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,593).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newroz vs Al Shorta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newroz
Not enough data to predict the Newroz lineup.
Al Shorta
4-2-3-1- 10L. Ateba
- 9Hussein Ali
- 14B. Moumouni
- 11Bassam Shakir
- 23K. Kuku
- 13B. Ngalamulume
- 4R. Ramírez
- 5Maytham Jabbar
- 15A. Yahya
- 25Atheer Salih
- 12Jalal Hassan Hachim
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newroz have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Al Shorta have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | East Bengal II(away) | 3-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Seeb(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Newroz wins, 1 draw, 1 Al Shorta win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Newroz 0-1 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Al Shorta 2-2 Newroz | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newroz score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shorta score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newroz | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Al Shorta | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newroz sit 2nd in Iraqi League (21 points from 10 matches) and Al Shorta sit 6th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newroz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
A question about Newroz vs Al Shorta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newroz vs Al Shorta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Shorta the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Newroz.
- Where and when is Newroz vs Al Shorta played?
- Newroz vs Al Shorta is played on May 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.