Nafta vs Celje: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Lendava, Lendava
The Footlab AI model makes Celje the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Nafta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celje wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nafta vs Celje?
Celje starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nafta vs Celje
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nafta
4-3-3- 17A. Maroša
- 7Josip Ivan Zorica
- 21Shyon Omrani
- 41Kimi Lavrencic
- 18A. Pihler
- 8M. Ogwuche
- 2R. Pirtovšek
- 33L. Poredoš
- 98Á. Drágoner
- 20Andre Ferreira
- 1Lucas Erjavsek
Celje
4-2-3-1- 47A. Kučys
- 8M. Kvesić
- 77M. Ivanšek
- 10S. Sešlar
- 91Y. Dukuly
- 27I. Ćalušić
- 6A. Tutyškinas
- 11M. Avdyli
- 44Ł. Bejger
- 2P. Širvys
- 1Žan-Luk Leban
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nafta have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Celje have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Koper(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Radomlje(home) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 2-3 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 1-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Koper(home) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nafta wins, 2 draws, 4 Celje wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nafta 1-3 Celje | 1. SNL |
| May 18, 2025 | Nafta 1-6 Celje | 1. SNL |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Celje 3-2 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Nafta 0-0 Celje | 1. SNL |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Celje 3-1 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Nafta 1-1 Celje | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Nafta score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celje score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nafta | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Celje | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nafta sit 4th in 1. SNL (16 points from 11 matches) and Celje sit 6th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nafta | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 16 |
| 6 | Celje | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
A question about Nafta vs Celje?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nafta vs Celje?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celje the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Nafta.
- Where and when is Nafta vs Celje played?
- Nafta vs Celje is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Lendava, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.