Nafta vs Koper: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Lendava, Lendava
The Footlab model makes Koper the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Nafta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nafta vs Koper?
Koper starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nafta have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Koper have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celje(home) | 1-3 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aluminij(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mura(home) | 5-2 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 3-0 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mura(away) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 30, 2026 | NSI Runavik(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nafta win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Koper win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nafta 0-2 Koper | 1. SNL |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Nafta 1-5 Koper | 1. SNL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Koper 0-0 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Nafta 1-2 Koper | 1. SNL |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Koper 3-0 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Nafta 0-3 Koper | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Nafta score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Koper score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nafta | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Koper | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nafta sit 10th in 1. SNL (0 points from 1 matches) and Koper sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Koper | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Koper | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Nafta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | Nafta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nafta vs Koper?
- The Footlab model makes Koper the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Nafta.
- Where and when is Nafta vs Koper played?
- Nafta vs Koper is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Lendava, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.