Celje vs Mura: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Z'dežele, Celje
The Footlab AI model makes Celje the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Mura. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celje vs Mura?
Celje starts as the favourite with a 276-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,623).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celje vs Mura
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celje
4-2-3-1- 47A. Kučys
- 8M. Kvesić
- 77M. Ivanšek
- 10S. Sešlar
- 91Y. Dukuly
- 27I. Ćalušić
- 6A. Tutyškinas
- 11M. Avdyli
- 44Ł. Bejger
- 2P. Širvys
- 1Žan-Luk Leban
Mura
3-4-3- 30K. Kurtovic
- 3Aleksandar Zeljković
- 71B. Dimitrov
- 10N. Kouter
- 7N. Kasalo
- 18A. Zalaznik
- 47Š. Butić
- 26B. Proleta
- 56M. Matić
- 21Ž. Petrovič
- 33Ž. Fermišek
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celje have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mura have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 1-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Koper(home) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 3-3 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celje(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-6 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Celje wins, 2 draws, 1 Mura win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mura 0-0 Celje | 1. SNL |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Celje 2-2 Mura | 1. SNL |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mura 0-2 Celje | 1. SNL |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Celje 5-1 Mura | 1. SNL |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Mura 2-1 Celje | 1. SNL |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Celje 3-0 Mura | 1. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Celje score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mura score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Mura | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celje sit 6th in 1. SNL (15 points from 10 matches) and Mura sit 9th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celje | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Mura | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Celje vs Mura?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celje vs Mura?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celje the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Mura.
- Where and when is Celje vs Mura played?
- Celje vs Mura is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Z'dežele, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.