Naftagas vs Borac Cacak: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Naftagas, Elemir
The Footlab model makes Naftagas the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Borac Cacak. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naftagas vs Borac Cacak?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Naftagas (1,607) and Borac Cacak (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naftagas have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Borac Cacak have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Grafičar(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OFK Vršac(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Loznica(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dubočica(away) | 2-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Naftagas(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Loznica(away) | 3-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(away) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Naftagas win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Borac Cacak win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Borac Cacak 2-1 Naftagas | Prva Liga |
Last archived meeting: Borac Cacak vs Naftagas on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naftagas score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Borac Cacak score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftagas | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Borac Cacak | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naftagas sit 12th in Prva Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Borac Cacak sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac Cacak | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 12 | Naftagas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naftagas vs Borac Cacak?
- The Footlab model makes Naftagas the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Borac Cacak.
- Where and when is Naftagas vs Borac Cacak played?
- Naftagas vs Borac Cacak is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Naftagas, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.