KCB vs Mara Sugar: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kenyatta Stadium, Machakos
The Footlab AI model makes Mara Sugar the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for KCB. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mara Sugar wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KCB vs Mara Sugar?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate KCB (1,492) and Mara Sugar (1,487).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KCB vs Mara Sugar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KCB
Not enough data to predict the KCB lineup.
Mara Sugar
Not enough data to predict the Mara Sugar lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KCB have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mara Sugar have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | 3K(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Shabana(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 KCB wins, 1 draw, 0 Mara Sugar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | KCB 1-0 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Mara Sugar 0-1 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mara Sugar 1-1 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | KCB 4-3 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
KCB score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCB | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KCB sit 4th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Mara Sugar sit 5th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | KCB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Mara Sugar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
A question about KCB vs Mara Sugar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KCB vs Mara Sugar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mara Sugar the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for KCB.
- Where and when is KCB vs Mara Sugar played?
- KCB vs Mara Sugar is played on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kenyatta Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.