Naivas vs Mwatate United: result 3-1 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 25, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Camp Toyoyo, Nairobi
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What was the result of Naivas vs Mwatate United?
Naivas won 3-1 on October 25, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naivas have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Mwatate United have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Vihiga United FC(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | MCF(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Fortune Sacco(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | MCF(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Nzoia Sugar(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Migori Youth(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Mara Sugar(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Vihiga United FC(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Naivas win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mwatate United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | Naivas 0-1 Mwatate United | Super League |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Mwatate United 0-5 Naivas | Super League |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Naivas 0-0 Mwatate United | Super League |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Mwatate United 2-1 Naivas | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Naivas vs Mwatate United on Apr 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Naivas score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mwatate United score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naivas | 1.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Mwatate United | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naivas sit 7th in Super League (61 points from 38 matches) and Mwatate United sit 20th (25 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Naivas | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47 | 30 | 61 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 64 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy