Najran vs Qilwah: prediction and stats
Division 2Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sport City Stadium, Najran
The Footlab AI model makes Najran the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Qilwah. The most likely score is 1-1. If Najran wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Najran vs Qilwah?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Najran (1,617) and Qilwah (1,629).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Najran vs Qilwah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Najran
Not enough data to predict the Najran lineup.
Qilwah
Not enough data to predict the Qilwah lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Najran have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Qilwah have 0, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Al Najoom(home) | 3-2 | Division 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Jubbah(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Al Sahel(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Al Jeel(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Al-Sadd(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Arabi SC(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Najran score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Qilwah score 0.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najran | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Qilwah | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Qilwah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Najran vs Qilwah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Najran vs Qilwah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Najran the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Qilwah.
- Where and when is Najran vs Qilwah played?
- Najran vs Qilwah is played on December 15, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sport City Stadium, in the Division 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.