Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Loei United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 31Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Muang Loei United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Loei United?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,463) and Muang Loei United (1,466).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Muang Loei United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Romklao United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Roi Et(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Nakhon Si City(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Muang Loei United | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Loei United?
- The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Muang Loei United.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Loei United played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Loei United is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Kasetsart FCvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Mar 20, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsKhon Kaen United
- Mar 20, 2027Muangthong UnitedvsKanchanaburi
- Mar 20, 2027ChanthaburivsSongkhla
- Mar 21, 2027SatunvsPhrae United
- Mar 21, 2027UttaraditvsEsan Pattaya
- Mar 21, 2027Chiangmai UnitedvsPolice Tero
- Mar 21, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsChainat