Chiangmai United vs Police Tero: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 31Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chiangmai United vs Police Tero?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Chiangmai United (1,430) and Police Tero (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangmai United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chiangmai United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Police Tero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Chiangmai United 4-1 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Police Tero 0-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Police Tero 3-0 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Chiangmai United 2-1 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Chiangmai United 1-0 Police Tero | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Police Tero 1-0 Chiangmai United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Chiangmai United vs Police Tero on Feb 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangmai United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chiangmai United sit 10th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Police Tero sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 58 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chiangmai United vs Police Tero?
- The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Police Tero.
- Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Police Tero played?
- Chiangmai United vs Police Tero is played on March 21, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Nakhon PathomvsMuang Loei United
- Mar 20, 2027Kasetsart FCvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Mar 20, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsKhon Kaen United
- Mar 20, 2027Muangthong UnitedvsKanchanaburi
- Mar 20, 2027ChanthaburivsSongkhla
- Mar 21, 2027UttaraditvsEsan Pattaya
- Mar 21, 2027SatunvsPhrae United
- Mar 21, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsChainat