Match

Mahasarakham United vs Chainat: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 31Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham

Mahasarakham UnitedChainat

The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Chainat. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Chainat?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,460) and Chainat (1,425).

Mahasarakham United win48 %
Draw25 %
Chainat win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chainat have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mahasarakham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)2-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Trat FC(away)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 18, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-3League Cup
Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 2, 2026Pattani(home)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Trat FC(away)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Police Tero(home)2-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Mahasarakham United win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Chainat win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 19, 2026Chainat 0-1 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Oct 18, 2025Mahasarakham United 0-0 ChainatThai League 2
Feb 22, 2025Chainat 0-0 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Oct 27, 2024Mahasarakham United 1-0 ChainatThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Mahasarakham United on Feb 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mahasarakham United1.21.164/158/15
Chainat1.31.8112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mahasarakham United sit 8th in Thai League 2 (45 points from 34 matches) and Chainat sit 6th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Chainat34121012504646
8Mahasarakham United3412913474245

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Chainat?
The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Chainat.
Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Chainat played?
Mahasarakham United vs Chainat is played on March 21, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mahasarakham United and Chainat

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