Match

Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 29Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom

Nakhon PathomPolice Tero

The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,463) and Police Tero (1,474).

Nakhon Pathom win41 %
Draw29 %
Police Tero win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Phrae United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Bangkok(home)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Mahasarakham United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-1Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)0-1Thai League 2
Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-3Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Chanthaburi(away)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Phrae United(home)3-1Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Chainat(away)1-2Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Nakhon Pathom win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Police Tero win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Police TeroThai League 2
Oct 5, 2025Police Tero 4-2 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Mar 2, 2024Police Tero 1-1 Nakhon PathomThai League 1
Oct 1, 2023Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Police TeroThai League 1
Jan 12, 2022Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Police TeroLeague Cup

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nakhon Pathom1.11.164/154/15
Police Tero1.21.9112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nakhon Pathom sit 15th in Thai League 2 (39 points from 34 matches) and Police Tero sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Police Tero3415811504453
15Nakhon Pathom3410915293739

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero?
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Police Tero.
Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero played?
Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nakhon Pathom and Police Tero

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