Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Matchday 29Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab AI model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nakhon Pathom wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,203 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero?
On Elo ratings, Nakhon Pathom has 1,487 points and Police Tero 1,454.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nakhon Pathom
4-3-3- 11Valdo
- 22P. Viriyachanchai
- 21N. Prachobklang
- 66S. Chaolaokhwan
- 6J. Phupha
- 55C. Otton
- 47A. Sangtong
- 44Amirhossein Nemati
- 5V. Filipović
- 33A. Sangram
- 76K. Pitaksalee
Police Tero
4-3-3- 30Ahmed Awad Mohammad
- 11A. Kelani Essadi
- 9Fernando Viana
- 8W. Motim
- 10S. Namphueng
- 41S. Tudsanai
- 37S. Kesi
- 6P. Sienkrthok
- 14T. Thanachartkun
- 91P. Boers
- 1S. Khumpiam
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 03:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Police Tero have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(home) | 6-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Satun(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Uttaradit(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Uttaradit(away) | 0-4 | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 0-6 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Surin(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 5-3 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Nakhon Pathom win, 1 draw, 3 Police Tero wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Police Tero 4-2 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Police Tero 1-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Police Tero | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 12, 2022 | Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Police Tero | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Police Tero | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nakhon Pathom sit 8th in Thai League 2 (14 points from 10 matches) and Police Tero sit 15th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nakhon Pathom | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 15 | Police Tero | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Police Tero.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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