Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 29Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,463) and Police Tero (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Nakhon Pathom win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Police Tero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Police Tero 4-2 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Police Tero 1-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Police Tero | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 12, 2022 | Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Police Tero | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nakhon Pathom sit 15th in Thai League 2 (39 points from 34 matches) and Police Tero sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero?
- The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Police Tero.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027SatunvsMuang Loei United
- Mar 13, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsEsan Pattaya
- Mar 13, 2027ChanthaburivsChainat
- Mar 14, 2027UttaraditvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Mar 14, 2027Muangthong UnitedvsSongkhla
- Mar 14, 2027Kasetsart FCvsKhon Kaen United
- Mar 14, 2027Chiangmai UnitedvsKanchanaburi
- Mar 14, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsPhrae United