Match

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 29Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu

Nong Bua PitchayaEsan Pattaya

The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Esan Pattaya (1,453).

Nong Bua Pitchaya win53 %
Draw24 %
Esan Pattaya win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nong Bua Pitchaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 16, 2026Pattani(home)2-1Thai League 2
May 9, 2026Police Tero(home)3-1Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Police Tero(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Esan Pattaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chainat(away)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Sisaket United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Phrae United(away)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)3-0Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Esan Pattaya win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Nov 30, 2025Esan Pattaya 4-0 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2
Mar 23, 2024Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-0 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Dec 3, 2023Esan Pattaya 1-1 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nong Bua Pitchaya2.12.1014/1514/15
Esan Pattaya1.51.157/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th in Thai League 2 (54 points from 34 matches) and Esan Pattaya sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Nong Bua Pitchaya3416612595954
12Esan Pattaya34101212454242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya?
The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Esan Pattaya.
Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya played?
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya is played on March 13, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nong Bua Pitchaya and Esan Pattaya

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