Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 29Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu
The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Esan Pattaya (1,453).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Esan Pattaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Esan Pattaya 4-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-0 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Esan Pattaya 1-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
| Esan Pattaya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th in Thai League 2 (54 points from 34 matches) and Esan Pattaya sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 59 | 54 |
| 12 | Esan Pattaya | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya?
- The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Esan Pattaya.
- Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya played?
- Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya is played on March 13, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Mar 13, 2027ChanthaburivsChainat
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- Mar 14, 2027Kasetsart FCvsKhon Kaen United
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