Match

Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on March 18, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok

Police TeroMahasarakham United

The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Mahasarakham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Mahasarakham United (1,460).

Police Tero win49 %
Draw27 %
Mahasarakham United win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mahasarakham United have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-3Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Chanthaburi(away)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Phrae United(home)3-1Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Chainat(away)1-2Thai League 2
Mahasarakham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)2-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Trat FC(away)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 18, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-3League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Police Tero win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mahasarakham United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Police Tero 0-0 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Nov 22, 2025Mahasarakham United 2-3 Police TeroThai League 2
Mar 29, 2025Police Tero 1-1 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Nov 30, 2024Mahasarakham United 2-1 Police TeroThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Police Tero1.21.9112/159/15
Mahasarakham United1.21.164/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Police Tero sit 5th in Thai League 2 (53 points from 34 matches) and Mahasarakham United sit 8th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Police Tero3415811504453
8Mahasarakham United3412913474245

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United?
The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Mahasarakham United.
Where and when is Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United played?
Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United is played on March 18, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Police Tero and Mahasarakham United

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