Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on March 18, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok
The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Mahasarakham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Mahasarakham United (1,460).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mahasarakham United have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Police Tero win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mahasarakham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Police Tero 0-0 Mahasarakham United | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Mahasarakham United 2-3 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Police Tero 1-1 Mahasarakham United | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Mahasarakham United 2-1 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Mahasarakham United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police Tero sit 5th in Thai League 2 (53 points from 34 matches) and Mahasarakham United sit 8th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham United | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 42 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United?
- The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Mahasarakham United.
- Where and when is Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United played?
- Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United is played on March 18, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 16, 2027Esan PattayavsSatun
- Mar 16, 2027Muang Loei UnitedvsChanthaburi
- Mar 17, 2027SongkhlavsNakhon Pathom
- Mar 17, 2027ChainatvsChiangmai United
- Mar 17, 2027Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Mar 17, 2027KanchanaburivsKasetsart FC
- Mar 17, 2027Khon Kaen UnitedvsMuangthong United
- Mar 18, 2027Phrae UnitedvsUttaradit