Nakhon Pathom vs Satun: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 25Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Satun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Satun?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,463) and Satun (1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Satun have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Muang Trang United(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Nakhon Pathom win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Satun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | Satun 2-0 Nakhon Pathom | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Satun vs Nakhon Pathom on Dec 6, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Satun | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Satun?
- The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Satun.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Satun played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Satun is played on February 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Feb 21, 2027Khon Kaen UnitedvsPhrae United
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