Match

Satun vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Satun Municipal Stadium, Satun

SatunNakhon Pathom

The Footlab AI model makes Satun the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Satun wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Satun vs Nakhon Pathom?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Satun (1,382) and Nakhon Pathom (1,387).

42%28%30%
Satun winDrawNakhon Pathom win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Satun vs Nakhon Pathom

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Satun

4-3-3
  1. 93Douglas Starnley Ferreira
  2. 44Kittiphong Khetpara
  3. 27Ajayi Opeyemi Korede
  1. 7C. Nakkaree
  2. 11E. Zaerko
  3. 77W. Nakkari
  1. 34Kittikon Khetpara
  2. 35N. Hehna
  3. 39W. Donmngkan
  4. 16C. Yara
  1. 38W. Panboot

Nakhon Pathom

4-3-3
  1. 11Valdo
  2. 22P. Viriyachanchai
  3. 21N. Prachobklang
  1. 66S. Chaolaokhwan
  2. 6J. Phupha
  3. 55C. Otton
  1. 47A. Sangtong
  2. 44Amirhossein Nemati
  3. 5V. Filipović
  4. 33A. Sangram
  1. 76K. Pitaksalee

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:10 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Satun have 6 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Satun
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Uttaradit(away)1-1Thai League 2
Oct 11, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)1-0Thai League 2
Sep 19, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)3-4Thai League 2
Sep 15, 2026Muangthong United(home)3-0Thai League 2
Sep 12, 2026Songkhla(away)3-1Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Chanthaburi(away)0-3Thai League 2
Oct 10, 2026Muangthong United(home)1-0Thai League 2
Sep 20, 2026Kasetsart FC(away)0-0Thai League 2
Sep 16, 2026Kanchanaburi(home)1-1Thai League 2
Sep 13, 2026Phrae United(away)0-0Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Satun win, 0 draws, 0 Nakhon Pathom wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 6, 2023Satun 2-0 Nakhon PathomLeague Cup

Last archived meeting: Satun vs Nakhon Pathom on Dec 6, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Satun score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 12; Nakhon Pathom score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Satun1.91.447/127/12
Nakhon Pathom0.91.454/156/15

Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Satun sit 3rd in Thai League 2 (10 points from 6 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 13th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Satun6312131010
13Nakhon Pathom6141467

A question about Satun vs Nakhon Pathom?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Satun vs Nakhon Pathom?
The Footlab AI model makes Satun the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Satun vs Nakhon Pathom played?
Satun vs Nakhon Pathom is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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