Where and when is Satun vs Nakhon Pathom played?

Satun vs Nakhon Pathom is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Satun vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Satun Municipal Stadium, Satun

Satun

Nakhon Pathom

The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Satun vs Nakhon Pathom?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Satun (1,421) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).

Satun win46 %

Draw26 %

Nakhon Pathom win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Satun have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Satun
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Dec 28, 2025	Lamphun Warrior(home)	0-2	League Cup
Sep 1, 2024	Muang Trang United(home)	1-1	League Cup
Mar 13, 2024	Muangthong United(home)	1-3	League Cup
Dec 6, 2023	Nakhon Pathom(home)	2-0	League Cup
Oct 25, 2023	Kanchanaburi(home)	2-1	League Cup

Nakhon Pathom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Phrae United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026	Bangkok(home)	0-3	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Mahasarakham United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026	Khon Kaen United(away)	0-1	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Satun win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nakhon Pathom win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 6, 2023	Satun 2-0 Nakhon Pathom	League Cup

Last archived meeting: Satun vs Nakhon Pathom on Dec 6, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Satun	1.7	1.2	2	3/6	3/6
Nakhon Pathom	1.1	1.1	6	4/15	4/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Nakhon Pathom	34	10	9	15	29	37	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Satun vs Nakhon Pathom?: The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Satun vs Nakhon Pathom played?: Satun vs Nakhon Pathom is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.