Match

Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham

Mahasarakham UnitedNakhon Pathom

The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,460) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).

Mahasarakham United win43 %
Draw28 %
Nakhon Pathom win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mahasarakham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)2-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Trat FC(away)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 18, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-3League Cup
Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Phrae United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Bangkok(home)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Mahasarakham United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-1Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)0-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mahasarakham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nakhon Pathom win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Mahasarakham United 0-2 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Dec 6, 2025Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mahasarakham United1.21.164/158/15
Nakhon Pathom1.11.164/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mahasarakham United sit 8th in Thai League 2 (45 points from 34 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 15th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mahasarakham United3412913474245
15Nakhon Pathom3410915293739

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?
The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom played?
Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mahasarakham United and Nakhon Pathom

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