Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham
The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,460) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mahasarakham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nakhon Pathom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United 0-2 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Mahasarakham United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahasarakham United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mahasarakham United sit 8th in Thai League 2 (45 points from 34 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 15th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mahasarakham United | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 42 | 45 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?
- The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Nakhon Pathom.
- Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom played?
- Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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