Nania vs True Democracy: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nania Park, Accra
The Footlab model makes Nania the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for True Democracy. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nania vs True Democracy?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Nania (1,494) and True Democracy (1,499).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nania have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; True Democracy have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Na God(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Hakla SC(home) | 0-0 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Inter Allies(away) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Great Ambitions(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Home Stars(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Attram de Visser(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Port City(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 2, 2026 | Na God(away) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hakla SC(home) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Inter Allies(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Nania win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 True Democracy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Nania 1-1 True Democracy | Division One League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | True Democracy 1-1 Nania | Division One League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | True Democracy 1-1 Nania | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Nania vs True Democracy on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nania score 0.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; True Democracy score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nania | 0.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| True Democracy | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nania sit 13th in Division One League (0 points from 1 matches) and True Democracy sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | True Democracy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Nania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nania vs True Democracy?
- The Footlab model makes Nania the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for True Democracy.
- Where and when is Nania vs True Democracy played?
- Nania vs True Democracy is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nania Park, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.