Nantes vs Guingamp: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
The Footlab AI model makes Nantes the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Guingamp. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nantes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nantes vs Guingamp?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Nantes (1,849) and Guingamp (1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nantes vs Guingamp
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nantes
3-4-3- 27T. Robinet
- 8J. Lepenant
- 37I. Ganago
- 26R. Hachem
- 13F. Doucouré
- 28I. Sissoko
- 23W. Younoussa
- 5L. Perrin
- 4S. Sow
- 98K. Amian
- 1M. Dupé
Guingamp
4-4-2- 22B. Bokangu
- 10A. Hemia
- 4D. Louiserre
- 21T. Ahile
- 20S. Ben Brahim
- 8F. Da Silva
- 2E. Koffi
- 5T. Ollila
- 36A. Demouchy
- 24J. Dianganga
- 16Adrián Ortolá
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nantes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Guingamp have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reims(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Nancy(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reims(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nantes wins, 2 draws, 2 Guingamp wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guingamp 3-3 Nantes | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Nantes 1-2 Guingamp | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 13, 2022 | Nantes 0-1 Guingamp | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2021 | Nantes 1-0 Guingamp | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Guingamp 0-0 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Nantes 5-0 Guingamp | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nantes score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guingamp score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Guingamp | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nantes sit 13th in Ligue 2 (8 points from 8 matches) and Guingamp sit 11th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guingamp | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Nantes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Nantes vs Guingamp?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nantes vs Guingamp?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nantes the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Guingamp.
- Where and when is Nantes vs Guingamp played?
- Nantes vs Guingamp is played on January 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.