Saint Etienne vs Dunkerque: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne
The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Dunkerque. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Dunkerque?
Saint Etienne starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,823).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saint Etienne vs Dunkerque
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saint Etienne
4-2-3-1- 7I. Cardona
- 6M. Bernauer
- 8T. Ballo
- 14Á. Csongvai
- 20A. Boakye
- 10J. Breum
- 18S. Nair
- 23K. Pedro
- 11B. Old
- 13João Ferreira
- 30G. Larsonneur
Dunkerque
4-2-3-1- 19S. Keita
- 11E. Prutsev
- 10A. Lebeau
- 18Théna Massock
- 6J. Morel
- 7K. Ayari
- 27A. Linguet
- 26Opa Sanganté
- 24L. Vallier
- 2O. Touré
- 73Moha Airam
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint Etienne have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Dunkerque have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metz(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PAU(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Saint Etienne wins, 0 draws, 3 Dunkerque wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dunkerque 2-1 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Saint Etienne 2-1 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Dunkerque 1-0 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Dunkerque 1-0 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Saint Etienne 2-0 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saint Etienne score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dunkerque score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Dunkerque | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint Etienne sit 1st in Ligue 2 (19 points from 8 matches) and Dunkerque sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 19 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Saint Etienne vs Dunkerque?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint Etienne vs Dunkerque?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Dunkerque.
- Where and when is Saint Etienne vs Dunkerque played?
- Saint Etienne vs Dunkerque is played on January 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.