Montpellier vs Rodez: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Rodez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montpellier wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montpellier vs Rodez?
On Elo ratings, Montpellier has 1,917 points and Rodez 1,882.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montpellier vs Rodez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montpellier
4-2-3-1- 11M. Camara
- 18N. Pays
- 19N. Mukiele
- 5F. Tardieu
- 44T. Chennahi
- 40N. Vidal-Cartoux
- 15J. Laporte
- 17T. Sainte-Luce
- 27D. Meddah
- 58A. Sissoko
- 31S. Ngapandouetnbu
Rodez
5-3-2- 7K. Nagera
- 9N. Nsingi
- 6J. Mendes
- 29Antonin Cartillier
- 10M. Saka
- 4M. Magnin
- 3R. Lipinski
- 24L. Quenabio
- 28S. Luyambula Biwa
- 17L. Vungele Vangi
- 1Q. Braat
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montpellier have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Rodez have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 3-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Montpellier wins, 0 draws, 3 Rodez wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Montpellier 4-2 Rodez | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Rodez 1-0 Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Montpellier 2-0 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Montpellier 0-2 Rodez | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Montpellier 5-0 Rodez | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Montpellier 0-1 Rodez | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rodez score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Rodez | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montpellier sit 3rd in Ligue 2 (15 points from 8 matches) and Rodez sit 15th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 15 | Rodez | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Montpellier vs Rodez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Rodez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Rodez.
- Where and when is Montpellier vs Rodez played?
- Montpellier vs Rodez is played on January 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.