Naousa vs Kastoria: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Naousa, Naousa
The Footlab model makes Naousa the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Kastoria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naousa vs Kastoria?
Naousa starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,465 vs 1,360).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Naousa have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Kastoria have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Svoronos(home) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Eordaikos(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Asteras Petriti(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Zakynthos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Thyella Katsikas(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Naousa score 0.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 1; Kastoria score 0.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naousa | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| Kastoria | 0.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naousa vs Kastoria?
- The Footlab model makes Naousa the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Kastoria.
- Where and when is Naousa vs Kastoria played?
- Naousa vs Kastoria is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Naousa, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.