Naousa vs Kastoria: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Naousa, Naousa
The Footlab AI model makes Naousa the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Kastoria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Naousa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naousa vs Kastoria?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Naousa (1,529) and Kastoria (1,434).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naousa vs Kastoria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naousa
Not enough data to predict the Naousa lineup.
Kastoria
Not enough data to predict the Kastoria lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Naousa have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Kastoria have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Thyella Katsikas(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Anagennisi Artas(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Doxa Mascholouriou(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doxa Mascholouriou(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Makedonikos Siatista(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vatolakkos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Svoronos(home) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Eordaikos(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Naousa score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 4; Kastoria score 0.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naousa | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Kastoria | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naousa sit 10th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (0 points from 2 matches) and Kastoria sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kastoria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Naousa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Naousa vs Kastoria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naousa vs Kastoria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naousa the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Kastoria.
- Where and when is Naousa vs Kastoria played?
- Naousa vs Kastoria is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Naousa, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.