Napier City Rovers vs Eastern Suburbs: prediction and stats
National League - NationalChampionship Group - 10Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Bluewater Stadium (Park Island), Napier
The Footlab AI model makes Napier City Rovers the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Eastern Suburbs. The most likely score is 1-1. If Napier City Rovers wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Napier City Rovers vs Eastern Suburbs?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Napier City Rovers (1,842) and Eastern Suburbs (1,835).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Napier City Rovers vs Eastern Suburbs
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Napier City Rovers
Not enough data to predict the Napier City Rovers lineup.
Eastern Suburbs
Not enough data to predict the Eastern Suburbs lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Napier City Rovers have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Eastern Suburbs have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Birkenhead United(away) | 0-2 | National League - National |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cashmere Technical(home) | 2-1 | National League - National |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Auckland United(away) | 1-7 | National League - National |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Miramar(home) | 1-1 | National League - National |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cashmere Technical(away) | 1-2 | Chatham Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wellington Olympic(away) | 0-4 | National League - National |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Auckland City(home) | 2-4 | National League - National |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ferrymead Bays(away) | 0-0 | National League - National |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Birkenhead United(away) | 2-0 | National League - Northern |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Western Springs(home) | 2-2 | National League - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Napier City Rovers wins, 1 draw, 1 Eastern Suburbs win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2024 | Eastern Suburbs 2-2 Napier City Rovers | National League - National |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Napier City Rovers 0-5 Eastern Suburbs | National League - National |
Last archived meeting: Eastern Suburbs vs Napier City Rovers on Oct 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Napier City Rovers score 2.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Eastern Suburbs score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napier City Rovers | 2.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Eastern Suburbs | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Napier City Rovers sit 7th in National League - National (4 points from 3 matches) and Eastern Suburbs sit 10th (1 point from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Napier City Rovers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | Eastern Suburbs | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
A question about Napier City Rovers vs Eastern Suburbs?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Napier City Rovers vs Eastern Suburbs?
- The Footlab AI model makes Napier City Rovers the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Eastern Suburbs.
- Where and when is Napier City Rovers vs Eastern Suburbs played?
- Napier City Rovers vs Eastern Suburbs is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Bluewater Stadium (Park Island), in the National League - National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.