Match

Naples vs Spokane Velocity: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Paradise Coast Sports Complex, Naples, Florida

NaplesSpokane Velocity

The Footlab AI model makes Spokane Velocity the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Naples. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spokane Velocity wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Naples vs Spokane Velocity?

Spokane Velocity starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,752).

29%28%43%
Naples winDrawSpokane Velocity win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Naples vs Spokane Velocity

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Naples

4-3-3
  1. 9R. Miglietti
  2. 45N. Likulia
  3. 7T. Gray
  1. 21Torrellas
  2. 6O. Ciss
  3. 8J. Osorio
  1. 4H. Uderitz
  2. 3J. Cisneros
  3. 20J. Yearwood
  4. 14K. O'Connor
  1. 1E. Delgado

Spokane Velocity

4-3-3
  1. 16A. Peláez
  2. 17M. Alexandre
  3. 9N. Brett
  1. 77A. Lewis
  2. 10L. Gil
  3. 34A. Elmasnaouy
  1. 3N. Spielman
  2. 33M. Mensah
  3. 18D. Waldeck
  4. 12C. Miller
  1. 1S. Lewis

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:55 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naples have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Spokane Velocity have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Naples
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Corpus Christi(away)1-0USL League One
Oct 7, 2026Richmond Kickers(home)2-0USL League One
Oct 3, 2026NY Cosmos(home)2-1USL League One
Sep 26, 2026Chattanooga Red Wolves(home)1-0USL League One
Sep 19, 2026Fort Wayne(away)2-2USL League One
Spokane Velocity
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026One Knoxville(away)2-0USL League One
Oct 4, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(home)3-3USL League One
Sep 30, 2026Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)1-0USL League One
Sep 26, 2026Forward Madison(away)1-0USL League One
Sep 20, 2026Boise(home)2-2USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Naples win, 0 draws, 2 Spokane Velocity wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Spokane Velocity 2-1 NaplesUSL League One
Oct 18, 2025Naples 0-1 Spokane VelocityUSL League One
Mar 22, 2025Spokane Velocity 0-1 NaplesUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Spokane Velocity vs Naples on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Naples score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spokane Velocity score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Naples1.11.356/157/15
Spokane Velocity2.01.1510/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Naples sit 9th in USL League One (40 points from 30 matches) and Spokane Velocity sit 6th (47 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Spokane Velocity271458413647
9Naples3012414354440

A question about Naples vs Spokane Velocity?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Naples vs Spokane Velocity?
The Footlab AI model makes Spokane Velocity the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Naples.
Where and when is Naples vs Spokane Velocity played?
Naples vs Spokane Velocity is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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