Where and when is Naples vs Union Omaha played?

Naples vs Union Omaha is played on August 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Naples vs Union Omaha: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Paradise Coast Sports Complex, Naples, Florida

Naples

Union Omaha

The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Naples. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Naples vs Union Omaha?

Union Omaha starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (1,830 vs 1,620).

Naples win25 %

Draw24 %

Union Omaha win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naples have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Union Omaha have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Naples
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Alta(away)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Westchester SC(away)	2-3	USL League One
Aug 5, 2026	Alta(home)	2-1	USL League One
Jul 25, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-3	USL League One
Jul 11, 2026	Tampa Bay Rowdies(away)	0-2	USL League One Cup

Union Omaha
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Richmond Kickers(home)	5-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)	3-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Fort Wayne(away)	2-0	USL League One
Jul 22, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(away)	2-1	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Naples win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Union Omaha win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 31, 2026	Union Omaha 2-1 Naples	USL League One
Nov 1, 2025	Naples 0-0 Union Omaha	USL League One
Oct 5, 2025	Union Omaha 2-1 Naples	USL League One
May 25, 2025	Naples 3-1 Union Omaha	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Union Omaha vs Naples on May 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Naples score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union Omaha score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Naples	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	8/15
Union Omaha	2.1	1.3	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Naples sit 11th in USL League One (23 points from 21 matches) and Union Omaha sit 1st (45 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	22	14	3	5	40	24	45
11	Naples	21	7	2	12	25	35	23

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Naples vs Union Omaha?: The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Naples.
Where and when is Naples vs Union Omaha played?: Naples vs Union Omaha is played on August 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.