Match

Napoli vs Viking: prediction and stats

UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 8Kick-off on January 27, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli

NapoliViking

The Footlab AI model makes Napoli the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Viking. The most likely score is 1-1. If Napoli wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Napoli vs Viking?

On Elo ratings, Napoli has 2,086 points and Viking 2,225.

38%25%37%
Napoli winDrawViking win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Napoli vs Viking

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Napoli

3-4-2-1
  1. 19R. Højlund
  1. 22G. Di Lorenzo
  2. 11K. De Bruyne
  3. 21M. Politano
  4. 6B. Gilmour
  5. 8S. McTominay
  6. 23Giovane
  1. 13Amir Rrahmani
  2. 16Rafa Marín
  3. 5B. Badiashile
  1. 32V. Milinković-Savić

Viking

4-3-3
  1. 20P. Christiansen
  2. 10Z. Tripić
  3. 22E. Botheim
  1. 7K. Askildsen
  2. 8J. Bell
  3. 16H. Bjørdal
  1. 6G. Stensness
  2. 5H. Heggheim
  3. 28K. Haugen
  4. 25H. Falchener
  1. 1A. Østbø

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:29 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Napoli have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Viking have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Napoli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Villarreal(away)1-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Frosinone(home)3-0Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Fiorentina(away)1-1Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Bologna(home)1-0Serie A
Sep 9, 2026Arsenal(home)0-1UEFA Champions League
Viking
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Bayern München(home)3-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 9, 2026Brann(away)2-0Eliteserien
Oct 1, 2026Madla(away)3-0NM Cupen
Sep 20, 2026Lillestrom(home)3-0Eliteserien
Sep 13, 2026Kristiansund BK(home)8-1Eliteserien

How many goals should we expect?

Napoli score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Viking score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Napoli1.81.168/158/15
Viking2.51.1411/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Napoli sit 31st in UEFA Champions League (0 points from 2 matches) and Viking sit 26th (1 point from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
26Viking2011461
31Napoli2002140

A question about Napoli vs Viking?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Napoli vs Viking?
The Footlab AI model makes Napoli the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Viking.
Where and when is Napoli vs Viking played?
Napoli vs Viking is played on January 27, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, in the UEFA Champions League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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