Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 8Kick-off on January 27, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Parc des Princes, Paris
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Galatasaray. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,680 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray?
Paris Saint Germain starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (2,370 vs 2,165).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3- 14D. Doué
- 10O. Dembélé
- 11M. Akliouche
- 17Vitinha
- 8Fabián Ruiz
- 87João Neves
- 2A. Hakimi
- 51W. Pacho
- 5Marquinhos
- 33W. Zaïre-Emery
- 39M. Safonov
Galatasaray
4-2-3-1- 45V. Osimhen
- 53B. Yılmaz
- 83A. Batrakov
- 11Y. Akgün
- 34L. Torreira
- 8Gabriel Sara
- 6D. Sánchez
- 4I. Jakobs
- 42A. Bardakcı
- 7R. Sallai
- 1U. Çakır
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 06:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paris Saint Germain have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Galatasaray have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Lille(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 3-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Paris Saint Germain wins, 0 draws, 0 Galatasaray wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2019 | Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Galatasaray | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 1, 2019 | Galatasaray 0-1 Paris Saint Germain | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray on Dec 11, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Paris Saint Germain score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Galatasaray score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 2.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Galatasaray | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paris Saint Germain sit 1st in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 3 matches) and Galatasaray sit 23rd (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Galatasaray.
- Where and when is Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray played?
- Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray is played on January 27, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Parc des Princes, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.