Liverpool vs Lens: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 8Kick-off on January 27, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Anfield, Liverpool
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Lens. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liverpool vs Lens?
On Elo ratings, Liverpool has 2,265 points and Lens 2,188.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Liverpool vs Lens
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 67L. Koumas
- 7F. Wirtz
- 29B. Barcola
- 38R. Gravenberch
- 73R. Ngumoha
- 42T. Nyoni
- 33R. Araújo
- 5J. Jacquet
- 30J. Frimpong
- 21K. Tsimikas
- 1Alisson Becker
Lens
3-4-2-1- 29F. Ivanović
- 10F. Thauvin
- 14M. Udol
- 27M. Cuisance
- 21A. Haidara
- 28J. Kadile
- 23Saud Abdulhamid
- 32K. Antonio
- 25I. Ganiou
- 6S. Baidoo
- 40R. Risser
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Lens have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 6-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lens score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Lens | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liverpool sit 5th in UEFA Champions League (6 points from 2 matches) and Lens sit 19th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 19 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
A question about Liverpool vs Lens?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liverpool vs Lens?
- The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Lens.
- Where and when is Liverpool vs Lens played?
- Liverpool vs Lens is played on January 27, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Anfield, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.