Napredak vs Borac Cacak: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Mladost, Kruševac
The Footlab model makes Borac Cacak the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Napredak. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Napredak vs Borac Cacak?
Borac Cacak starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Napredak have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Borac Cacak have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Teleoptik(away) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Metalac GM(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grafičar(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dubočica(away) | 2-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Naftagas(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Loznica(away) | 3-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(away) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Napredak win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Borac Cacak win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2017 | Borac Cacak 3-3 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Aug 13, 2017 | Napredak 3-1 Borac Cacak | Super Liga |
| Apr 9, 2017 | Borac Cacak 0-1 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Napredak 3-1 Borac Cacak | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Borac Cacak vs Napredak on Dec 4, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Napredak score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Borac Cacak score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napredak | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Borac Cacak | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Napredak sit 5th in Prva Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Borac Cacak sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac Cacak | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Napredak | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Napredak vs Borac Cacak?
- The Footlab model makes Borac Cacak the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Napredak.
- Where and when is Napredak vs Borac Cacak played?
- Napredak vs Borac Cacak is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Mladost, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.