Napredak vs Dubočica: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Mladost, Kruševac
The Footlab AI model makes Napredak the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Dubočica. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Napredak vs Dubočica?
On Elo ratings, Napredak has 1,509 points and Dubočica 1,520.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Napredak vs Dubočica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Napredak
4-3-3- 95M. Zuvić
- 77N. Srećković
- 7P. Bogdanovic
- 23A. Milić
- 4F. Krstić
- 18N. Stevanovic
- 2N. Janković
- 22A. Andrejević
- 44L. Miladinović
- 33V. Bogdanović
- 1L. BaleviÄ
Dubočica
4-3-3- 9D. Ivić
- 22L. Stojanovic
- 20M. Anđelković
- 7P. Djurickovic
- 6Parker Sidibe Mohamed Lamine
- 8M. Miraljemovic
- 2A. Markovic
- 23A. Pavlovic
- 30M. Zlatković
- 5Mateja StojanoviÄ
- 1M. Mladenovic
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Napredak have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Dubočica have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Naftagas(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 3-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 29, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-4 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | OFK Vršac(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Jedinstvo Ub(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Javor(home) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Teleoptik(home) | 2-0 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Napredak win, 0 draws, 0 Dubočica wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | Napredak 4-0 Dubočica | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Napredak score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dubočica score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napredak | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Dubočica | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Napredak sit 10th in Prva Liga (18 points from 13 matches) and Dubočica sit 6th (19 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dubočica | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Napredak | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 18 |
A question about Napredak vs Dubočica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Napredak vs Dubočica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Napredak the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Dubočica.
- Where and when is Napredak vs Dubočica played?
- Napredak vs Dubočica is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Mladost, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.