Jedinstvo Ub vs Grafičar: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragan Dzajić, Ub
The Footlab model makes Grafičar the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Jedinstvo Ub. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jedinstvo Ub vs Grafičar?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Jedinstvo Ub (1,547) and Grafičar (1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jedinstvo Ub have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Grafičar have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | OFK Vršac(home) | 1-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Javor(away) | 0-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(home) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teleoptik(away) | 2-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metalac GM(home) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jedinstvo Ub win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Grafičar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Grafičar 4-0 Jedinstvo Ub | Prva Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Jedinstvo Ub 2-0 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| May 7, 2024 | Grafičar 2-4 Jedinstvo Ub | Prva Liga |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Jedinstvo Ub 3-1 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Grafičar 3-0 Jedinstvo Ub | Prva Liga |
| May 6, 2023 | Grafičar 1-1 Jedinstvo Ub | Prva Liga |
Last archived meeting: Grafičar vs Jedinstvo Ub on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Jedinstvo Ub score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Grafičar score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedinstvo Ub | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Grafičar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jedinstvo Ub sit 14th in Prva Liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Grafičar sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grafičar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Jedinstvo Ub | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jedinstvo Ub vs Grafičar?
- The Footlab model makes Grafičar the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Jedinstvo Ub.
- Where and when is Jedinstvo Ub vs Grafičar played?
- Jedinstvo Ub vs Grafičar is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragan Dzajić, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.