Semendrija 1924 vs Naftagas: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportski Kompleks FK Smederevo, Smederevo
The Footlab model makes Semendrija 1924 the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Naftagas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Semendrija 1924 vs Naftagas?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Semendrija 1924 (1,634) and Naftagas (1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Semendrija 1924 have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Naftagas have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Metalac GM(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(home) | 4-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Grafičar(away) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borac Cacak(home) | 3-2 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Mladost DG(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OFK Vršac(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Loznica(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Macva(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Semendrija 1924 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Naftagas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2025 | Naftagas 2-1 Semendrija 1924 | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Naftagas vs Semendrija 1924 on Sep 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Semendrija 1924 score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Naftagas score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semendrija 1924 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Naftagas | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Semendrija 1924 sit 4th in Prva Liga (10 points from 4 matches) and Naftagas sit 16th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Semendrija 1924 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 16 | Naftagas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Semendrija 1924 vs Naftagas?
- The Footlab model makes Semendrija 1924 the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Naftagas.
- Where and when is Semendrija 1924 vs Naftagas played?
- Semendrija 1924 vs Naftagas is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sportski Kompleks FK Smederevo, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.