Star Starachowice vs Naprzód: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Starachowice
The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Star Starachowice vs Naprzód?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Star Starachowice (1,764) and Naprzód (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Star Starachowice have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Naprzód have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Star Starachowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Naprzód win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Star Starachowice 2-1 Naprzód | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Naprzód 0-1 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Star Starachowice vs Naprzód on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Starachowice | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Naprzód | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Star Starachowice sit 15th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Naprzód sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Naprzód | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Star Starachowice vs Naprzód?
- The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Naprzód.
- Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Naprzód played?
- Star Starachowice vs Naprzód is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsKSZO 1929
- Nov 14, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsMoravia Morawica
- Nov 14, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsWisła Kraków II
- Nov 14, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsCzarni Połaniec
- Nov 14, 2026Wiślanie JaśkowicevsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Nov 14, 2026JarosławvsChełmianka Chełm
- Nov 14, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsBusko-Zdroj
- Nov 14, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsHetman Zamosc