Match

Star Starachowice vs Naprzód: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Starachowice

Star StarachowiceNaprzód

The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Star Starachowice vs Naprzód?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Star Starachowice (1,764) and Naprzód (1,691).

Star Starachowice win57 %
Draw23 %
Naprzód win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Star Starachowice have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Naprzód have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Star Starachowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Busko-Zdroj(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Czarni Połaniec(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Hetman Zamosc(away)0-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026KSZO 1929(home)0-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Wisła Kraków II(away)2-4III Liga - Group 4
Naprzód
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)2-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Korona Kielce II(home)5-4III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Star Starachowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Naprzód win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026Star Starachowice 2-1 NaprzódIII Liga - Group 4
Oct 11, 2025Naprzód 0-1 Star StarachowiceIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Star Starachowice vs Naprzód on May 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Star Starachowice1.31.9211/1510/15
Naprzód1.51.827/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Star Starachowice sit 15th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Naprzód sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Naprzód52039136
15Star Starachowice5122585

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Star Starachowice vs Naprzód?
The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Naprzód.
Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Naprzód played?
Star Starachowice vs Naprzód is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Star Starachowice and Naprzód

Ready to know everything about football?