NAPSA Stars vs Trident: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)REIZ Arena, Lusaka
The Footlab model makes NAPSA Stars the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 24% for Trident. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NAPSA Stars vs Trident?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate NAPSA Stars (1,518) and Trident (1,443).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NAPSA Stars have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Trident have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Konkola Blades(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 12, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2024 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 25, 2024 | ZESCO United(away) | 1-5 | Super League |
| May 18, 2024 | Power Dynamos(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 15, 2024 | Konkola Blades(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 4, 2024 | Nkwazi(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 NAPSA Stars win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Trident win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | Trident 1-1 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
| Nov 8, 2023 | NAPSA Stars 0-0 Trident | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Trident vs NAPSA Stars on Apr 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
NAPSA Stars score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Trident score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAPSA Stars | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Trident | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | NAPSA Stars | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 25 | 33 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NAPSA Stars vs Trident?
- The Footlab model makes NAPSA Stars the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 24% for Trident.
- Where and when is NAPSA Stars vs Trident played?
- NAPSA Stars vs Trident is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at REIZ Arena, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Green EaglesvsZESCO United
- Dec 5, 2026Mufulira WanderersvsRed Arrows
- Dec 5, 2026Nchanga RangersvsPower Dynamos
- Dec 5, 2026Konkola BladesvsZanaco
- Dec 5, 2026Kansanshi DynamosvsMan Utd Zambia Academy
- Dec 6, 2026Green BuffaloesvsRoan United
- Dec 6, 2026Mutondo StarsvsKabwe Warriors
- Dec 6, 2026Chirundu UtdvsNkwazi