Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe Warriors: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Arthur Davies Stadium, Kitwe
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Mutondo Stars, 35% for a draw, 32% for Kabwe Warriors. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe Warriors?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Mutondo Stars (1,494) and Kabwe Warriors (1,579).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutondo Stars have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Kabwe Warriors have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mines(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Power Dynamos(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mutondo Stars win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kabwe Warriors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors 1-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Mutondo Stars 1-2 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Mutondo Stars 0-0 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Kabwe Warriors 1-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| May 18, 2024 | Mutondo Stars 1-1 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Kabwe Warriors 0-2 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kabwe Warriors score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutondo Stars | 0.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Kabwe Warriors | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mutondo Stars sit 16th in Super League (35 points from 34 matches) and Kabwe Warriors sit 4th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kabwe Warriors | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 25 | 51 |
| 16 | Mutondo Stars | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe Warriors?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Mutondo Stars, 35% for a draw, 32% for Kabwe Warriors.
- Where and when is Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe Warriors played?
- Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe Warriors is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Arthur Davies Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Green EaglesvsZESCO United
- Dec 5, 2026Mufulira WanderersvsRed Arrows
- Dec 5, 2026NAPSA StarsvsTrident
- Dec 5, 2026Nchanga RangersvsPower Dynamos
- Dec 5, 2026Konkola BladesvsZanaco
- Dec 5, 2026Kansanshi DynamosvsMan Utd Zambia Academy
- Dec 6, 2026Green BuffaloesvsRoan United
- Dec 6, 2026Chirundu UtdvsNkwazi