Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe Warriors: prediction and stats
Super LeagueMatchday 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Arthur Davies Stadium, Kitwe
The Footlab AI model makes Kabwe Warriors the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Mutondo Stars. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kabwe Warriors wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,941 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe Warriors?
Kabwe Warriors starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,539 vs 1,422).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe Warriors
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mutondo Stars
Not enough data to predict the Mutondo Stars lineup.
Kabwe Warriors
Not enough data to predict the Kabwe Warriors lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutondo Stars have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Kabwe Warriors have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Roan United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ZESCO United(away) | 0-5 | Super League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Chirundu Utd(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Roan United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mutondo Stars wins, 2 draws, 4 Kabwe Warriors wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors 3-2 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors 1-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Mutondo Stars 1-2 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Mutondo Stars 0-0 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Kabwe Warriors 1-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| May 18, 2024 | Mutondo Stars 1-1 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kabwe Warriors score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutondo Stars | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Kabwe Warriors | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mutondo Stars sit 16th in Super League (35 points from 34 matches) and Kabwe Warriors sit 4th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kabwe Warriors | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 25 | 51 |
| 16 | Mutondo Stars | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 35 |
A question about Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe Warriors?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe Warriors?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kabwe Warriors the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Mutondo Stars.
- Where and when is Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe Warriors played?
- Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe Warriors is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Arthur Davies Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Green EaglesvsZESCO United
- Dec 5, 2026Mufulira WanderersvsRed Arrows
- Dec 5, 2026NAPSA StarsvsTrident
- Dec 5, 2026Nchanga RangersvsPower Dynamos
- Dec 5, 2026Konkola BladesvsZanaco
- Dec 5, 2026Kansanshi DynamosvsMan Utd Zambia Academy
- Dec 6, 2026Green BuffaloesvsRoan United
- Dec 6, 2026Chirundu UtdvsNkwazi