Nkana vs NAPSA Stars: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nkana Stadium, Kitwe
The Footlab model makes Nkana the favourite at 45%, against 34% for a draw and 21% for NAPSA Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nkana vs NAPSA Stars?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Nkana (1,562) and NAPSA Stars (1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nkana have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; NAPSA Stars have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | ZESCO United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Konkola Blades(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 12, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nkana win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 NAPSA Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | NAPSA Stars 1-1 Nkana | Super League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Nkana 1-0 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Nkana 0-1 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | NAPSA Stars 0-1 Nkana | Super League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | NAPSA Stars 1-0 Nkana | Super League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Nkana 1-1 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nkana score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; NAPSA Stars score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nkana | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| NAPSA Stars | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nkana sit 13th in Super League (39 points from 34 matches) and NAPSA Stars sit 15th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nkana | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 23 | 30 | 39 |
| 15 | NAPSA Stars | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 25 | 33 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nkana vs NAPSA Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Nkana the favourite at 45%, against 34% for a draw and 21% for NAPSA Stars.
- Where and when is Nkana vs NAPSA Stars played?
- Nkana vs NAPSA Stars is played on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkana Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 9, 2026Kabwe WarriorsvsChirundu Utd
- Dec 9, 2026Man Utd Zambia AcademyvsKonkola Blades
- Dec 9, 2026NkwazivsMufulira Wanderers
- Dec 9, 2026Red ArrowsvsGreen Eagles
- Dec 9, 2026ZESCO UnitedvsRoan United
- Dec 9, 2026ZanacovsMakeni All Stars
- Dec 9, 2026TridentvsNchanga Rangers
- Dec 10, 2026Green BuffaloesvsMutondo Stars