Náxara vs UD Logroñés II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Salera, Nájera
The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés II the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Náxara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Náxara vs UD Logroñés II?
UD Logroñés II starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,052 vs 1,880).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Náxara have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; UD Logroñés II have 14, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | SD Logroñés(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Peña Balsamaiso(away) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 3, 2026 | Autol(home) | 8-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Berceo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Oyonesa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Náxara win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 UD Logroñés II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | UD Logroñés II 3-1 Náxara | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Náxara 3-0 UD Logroñés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 15, 2022 | Náxara 1-3 UD Logroñés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 16, 2022 | UD Logroñés II 3-0 Náxara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Náxara 2-3 UD Logroñés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 29, 2020 | UD Logroñés II 2-1 Náxara | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: UD Logroñés II vs Náxara on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Náxara score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés II score 4.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náxara | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| UD Logroñés II | 4.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Náxara | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 48 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Náxara vs UD Logroñés II?
- The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés II the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Náxara.
- Where and when is Náxara vs UD Logroñés II played?
- Náxara vs UD Logroñés II is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Salera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.